Incumbents Survey: Most Opinions Changed by Government Shutdown

The government shutdown is officially over, but its effects may go on for some time still. Many Americans are upset with their congressional representatives who allowed the shutdown to happen in the first place. So how might this impact how they will vote in the next election?


Voter Turnout

In Ask Your Target Market’s latest survey, 48% of respondents said they definitely plan to vote in the next congressional election. 19% said they will probably vote. 14% said they probably won’t. And 19% said they definitely don’t plan to vote in the next election.

So there’s the potential that recent issues such as the government shutdown might actually impact voter turnout in addition to how people actually decide to vote. 58% of overall respondents said they voted in the last congressional election.


Overall, 21% of those who intend to vote in the next election said they are very likely to vote for their current congressional representatives. 31% said they are somewhat likely to vote for incumbents in the next election. 21% said they are somewhat unlikely to vote for incumbents. And 27% said they are very unlikely to vote for any incumbents in the next congressional election.

Those numbers might not necessarily be indicative of any major shift in attitude though. Just 4% of those who plan to vote in the next election said they always vote for incumbents. 45% said they usually vote for incumbents. 18% said they usually don’t vote for incumbents. And 5% said they never do. 25% said they aren’t sure, as they don’t pay attention to whether candidates are incumbents or not. And 3% said they’ve never voted before.

Government Shutdown

But in general, 59% of respondents said that the government shutdown has negatively impacted their opinion of their current congressional representatives. 16% said that the shutdown has positively impacted their opinions of current representatives. And 25% said it has had no impact either way.

You can view the complete survey results in the widget below and be sure to click “Open Full Report” to take advantage of all the chart and filter options.

Photo Credit: Joe Gimse from Flickr

What do you want to know? If you need some consumer insights on a particular topic, let us know in the comments below and we’ll consider it for an upcoming survey post.

Results were collected on October 17 via AYTM’s online survey panel.

Anne Pilon brings 3 years experience to AYTM as a blogger and journalist. She has a degree in journalism and marketing communications from Columbia College in Chicago and enjoys writing about business, marketing, social media, and art.